The trace is the product.
Five agents debate. The supervisor merges. The critic audits across six dimensions. Every node of the resulting reasoning DAG gets its own hash; the Merkle root lands on Arc. Pay a few cents over x402, get a probability — and a byte-verifiable receipt for how it was produced.
bull / bear / edgesupervisor weighted-bayesiancritic 6-dim auditmerkle dag on arcx402 v2 paywallcctp v2 sepolia → arcmcp tool
Total receipts
2,482
On Arc + indexed locally
USDC settled
$0.0600
Sum across paid queries
Markets priced
152
Distinct prediction markets
Consumers
1
Distinct payer addresses
Receipts over the visible window
100 receipts
Live receipts
| # | Market | Prob | Conf | Schema | When | On chain | Trace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2482 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 23.6% | 65% | v3·57pp | 12m ago | 0xce8a2434… | open → |
| 2481 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | 40.8% | 62% | v3·50pp | 17m ago | 0xc187629e… | open → |
| 2480 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 8.0% | 88% | v3·7pp | 19m ago | 0x4e0ff1c7… | open → |
| 2479 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 22.0% | 65% | v3·47pp | 20m ago | 0x6823356f… | open → |
| 2478 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 36.8% | 62% | v3·50pp | 25m ago | 0x6498e342… | open → |
| 2477 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 10.6% | 82% | v3·58pp | 32m ago | 0x292df590… | open → |
| 2476 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 6.0% | 92% | v3·5pp | 34m ago | 0xf2808915… | open → |
| 2475 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | 43.9% | 72% | v3·30pp | 36m ago | 0x86ae1e96… | open → |
| 2474 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 23.0% | 68% | v3·50pp | 39m ago | 0x5c0e7025… | open → |
| 2473 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 22.0% | 82% | v3·53pp | 41m ago | 0x18ec3782… | open → |
| 2472 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | 51.6% | 62% | v3·24pp | 41m ago | 0xa465abb4… | open → |
| 2471 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 16.0% | 82% | v3·54pp | 46m ago | 0x51f5d275… | open → |
| 2470 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | 47.0% | 65% | v3·40pp | 48m ago | 0x2e1a23ca… | open → |
| 2469 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 22.0% | 82% | v3·53pp | 53m ago | 0xb62a2f8f… | open → |
| 2468 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 18.0% | 82% | v3·47pp | 54m ago | 0x87c9fb7d… | open → |
| 2467 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 21.8% | 60% | v3·50pp | 1h ago | 0x106e8218… | open → |
| 2466 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 32.0% | 65% | v3·58pp | 1h ago | 0x57b1bbbd… | open → |
| 2465 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 10.0% | 85% | v3·54pp | 1h ago | 0x8d4e62f4… | open → |
| 2464 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 23.0% | 78% | v3·50pp | 1h ago | 0x77f759a5… | open → |
| 2463 | Will Solana reach $130 in May? | 22.0% | 78% | v3·73pp | 1h ago | 0xd1e66760… | open → |
| 2462 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | 59.0% | 68% | v3·44pp | 1h ago | 0xc3911ebd… | open → |
| 2461 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 22.2% | 72% | v3·54pp | 1h ago | 0x3249d601… | open → |
| 2460 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 25.0% | 70% | v3·53pp | 1h ago | 0xabbed9ea… | open → |
| 2459 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | 49.0% | 65% | v3·20pp | 1h ago | 0xf9d95dc3… | open → |
| 2458 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 60.0% | 72% | v3·44pp | 1h ago | 0x0791035c… | open → |
| 2457 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | 52.0% | 65% | v3·20pp | 1h ago | 0x8e02579e… | open → |
| 2456 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship? | 22.0% | 65% | v3·53pp | 1h ago | 0xa5a3434a… | open → |
| 2455 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 22.2% | 68% | v3·54pp | 1h ago | 0x18451b9f… | open → |
| 2454 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | 52.0% | 68% | v3·27pp | 1h ago | 0x5da97c68… | open → |
| 2453 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 51.5% | 68% | v3·70pp | 1h ago | 0x7da890f4… | open → |